They aren’t usable? I’ve been using them a bunch and have been having good results. Dogfooding is always good, but I don’t think there’s some kind of major problem here.
They have to announce it now because by the time they are ready to release it, it won't be the best at anything.
Anthropic and OpenAI are not releasing their best models for several months, because their second best models are still better than everything else available.
Eh, not really. It just lowers the barrier for lazy people who never would have tried contributing before.
I’ve read a lot of code hand-written by programmers. By smart and hard working people. And I know from experience that the code the average programmer writes is not great either.
Their profit on that was reportedly $559 million. But, this is after you realize that Anthropic got a discount on May/June from their new agreement with xAI's Colossus data center. So their first profit positive quarter happened during the time when their costs were artificially lower than they will be going forward.
Lots of people seem to love to do the simplest extrapolation that benefits their point. It's the same with "AI is improving at rate X, therefore if we linearly extrapolate, we'll hit AGI in a year."
I could start a business with a similar growth trajectory. We can mail people $100 bills for a low low payment of $10. I just need $500 billion dollars of startup capital and I can show you a 10x yoy growth for a few years.
That sounds fun but this is people paying for real products and services. The demand is there (and it's growing faster than any other commercial technology in history). They just need to work on inference (and potentially training) costs. I think that's clearly achieveable.
For the record, growth plays have been common in Silicon Valley for many decades. It's how we ended up with all the major tech companies we see today. Of course, it's high risk, high reward.
If they, through standard accounting practices, cannot show they are profitable how do we know they are profitable? I assume they can't just say "we are profitable assuming you ignore the costs we paid to build up XYZ". I'm guessing they could pre - rent compute for 10 years or something and maybe that's all on the balance sheet but you'd just amortize that and I think that falls under GAAP?
Oh spare me the pedantry. What else are you going to compare? The year-on-year for Q2? That’s certainly going to have a much higher multiplier.
Your guess is as good as mine on whether these companies will continue growing, stall, or decline. Don’t try to pretend your methodology is more sound though.
I greatly prefer this, since it lets me iterate on the plan with Claude for a while without it repeatedly asking if I’m ready to implement the plan.
Once I’m satisfied, I usually start a fresh session and tell it to implement the plan.
For smaller plans, you don’t need the file. Just ask it to come up with a plan. I don’t recall the last time it just started implementing if I only asked for a plan.
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