I'm sorry but this can't be a serious take. Can AI chop wood in my backyard? Can it go grocery shopping for me? Can it build my garden shed? I highly doubt, in fact I disagree completely that "AI can do everything in 5 years"

I meant only AI not physical AI.

But Physical AI is on the path to be done in 30 years.

Mostly agree, but one very small caveat—the books we all get to enjoy as readers have been through (presumably) beta readers, agent edits, and then publisher edits, and even then a line editor as well. All those hidden decisions you will not be able to learn until you do them.

a lot of these comments have no understanding of basic statistics. for example, did you know, at just 30 words of grammatically acceptable text, at least in english, youre already at more possible combinations of phrasings than atoms in the universe. you cant just throw a problem like that at LLMs and expect them to "just work"

folks should also look at burrows delta - i forgot which books but some folks were able to identify a ghost writer by stylometry alone.

ive said this on many threads, you cant just have text output from an llm (regardless of style / "pseudonym") and have it be "unique" because the nature of the transformer model itself is literally present in the output words. it will be detected as llm output every time. it has to be!

for pure anonymity, i suppose then it is an answer... for the actual craft and art style of writing it is not

so... long term here meaning until the next frontier model comes out?

In a year you can watch a documentary on the mythos of Mythos (that outdated model in case you forgot already).

"History doesn't echo - it is a distant early warning sign." - Leslie Harris

My profession is not, and never was, _programmer_. Lines of code—the actual text, is a means to an end, not an end in and of itself. I'll take heat for that here for sure. But do you think a carpenter considers himself "one who screws nails" or "glues joints"? No, the small minutiae of the job was never the job itself.

> But do you think a carpenter considers himself "one who screws nails" or "glues joints"?

Sure, but a carpenter who is unable to use a screwdriver without hurting themselves is unlikely to produce robust furniture with a a powered driver.

I think its guys just who don't really understand how the internet works. I'm flabbergasted that its 2026 and I still see the "oh no my IP" trope.

If you're worried about it use a VPN.

Your ISP anyway knows your IP or at the very least your current one if its dynamic.

People who blur their car license plates - when you can go to their social media profile and usually geolocate them down to a street address.

Thats another problem of this post, the author mentions Claude but not explicitely what models...

100k tokens "by lunch" is also not my finding, the newer models will hit that already right in the initial exploratory phase

I found "by lunch" odd too, but considering that Claude wrote the article, it's not going to know specifics.

Really depends on the project.

lets be genuine here: those local models are no where near the capabilities of true modern llms like codex 5.5 and fable 5

but i also dont doubt in a few years time models with those benchmarks will be able to be run locally

still many many breakthroughs to be had

Personally I am fine with the SOTA from last year if I can run it on my hardware and who gets access to my data and history. I don’t really care that it could be marginally better using a model I cannot control on someone else’s server.

I am not fine with that. I have ranted about this before, but until recently the sota models were not intelligent enough for most of my work.

Yesterday Fable 5 finally solved a non trivial problem I had (after working on it for a few hours), and I went to bed excited. Waking up to find that Fable 5 is not available anymore, I guess I should feel happy I have the code it produced yesterday. But frankly I feel like a child having their candy taken from them.

We need open available models as smart as the current US proprietary ones. If intelligence like that becomes common property, i forsee a better future for human kind!

The prose in the post is what I've been shouting from a rooftop since the LLM hype started.

Just tokens produced by weights.

Useful, but never forget that ground truth!

It's a parody of an original story that reversed the premise. In it, machine intelligences were marveling that an apparently intelligent species could in fact be created without any sort of reliable digital substrate, and instead just simulate the capabilities of real minds by using protein synthesis.