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For most of those Google is much better positioned.

I disagree, the moat will be of those holding rights for valuable problem domain specific training data. Examples I can think of:

Adobe sits on a treasure trove of:

- Copyrighted multimedia

- Years of telemetry on content creation

Zeiss sits on decades of data:

- Medical imaging, and surgical footage.

- Silicon waffer inspection.

These embody a training corpus that is de facto (lawfully) out of reach of the crawler scrapper approaches of Google/Meta/OpenAI/Anthropic (even if they pirate the seas for torrents like before).

Neither Adobe or Zeiss are an AI power house but the barrier to entry has also dropped with all the movement in the field.


Excellent point, and one that’s not raised enough in these conversations.

> There is no understanding with AI-generated applications, full stop.

Full slop, you mean.


SREs will be de-materialized and converted to a Docker image that will be run on Kubernetes, in the prod env.


The entire story sounds very weird.

Frankly, I've been dreaming since 2005 of having better single player AI than whatever garbage we've been building since at least 1995.

Actually, not even single player, I'd want to play Dota 2 with bots that are at the average human skill levels but don't give up easily and have, you know, manners...


Nobody learns to use an editor - or for that matter, learns anything - by figuring out a history lecture first.

People that do that are weirdos, and yes, I'm one. But I don't expect regular people to learn that way.

> Its only reason for existing is GPL freedumb nonsense that was popular back in the day.

These days we need more GPL, not less. We need AGPL and apparently, soon, AntiLLM-GPL.


I should clarify.

The reason Pico became popular — if you went to university in the 90s — is normal people, not just turbonerds, needed the occasional ability to edit simple text files on Unix hosts.

They were already using Pine to read their email, so why not use the editor that used the same keybindings they already knew for sending mail?


> I also haven't gone grocery shopping since 2020.

Do you have regular groceries delivered?


Yes.

Do whatever it takes to handle things, but for this:

> My wife and I BARELY have time to go grocery shopping

If you can, take them grocery shopping with you. One parent stays at home doing stuff, the other goes grocery shopping with at least one kid.

In my experience kids at least 12-18 months old LOVE grocery shopping.

Get a big shopping cart, put them in that special seat facing you. Keep it concise, don't shop for more than 1 hour per round. Talk to them, explain what you're doing, give them harmless things to play with (a carrot, a celery bulb, a bag of rice, whatever). Have a little fun with the produce, they will love random things, for example that weird looking tomato.

It becomes even easier as they grow a bit.


My daughter used to love sitting in the cart while perusing the books they sold at Costco. But maybe we didn't buy enough, they don't seem to carry many anymore!

But wait, where's the iPad in all this? /s

Works with some kids but not all. All these threads always end up “I’m shocked that someone else has a different life than me!”

In my experience routine trumps almost everything. And considering language learning, religion, accents, etc, routine probably trumps everything, period.

I've seen enough parents carting bored kids through supermarkets, while walking sullenly and silently, to know that some people aren't even trying.


I'd argue that OP is directionally right and:

1. only some specific circumstances for regular kids

2. special needs kids

should warrant exceptions.


People still don't see where this is going.

TV had both 15-20 minute of ad breaks every hour AND product placement during actual content.

That's where we're going in about 10-15 years.


I think the generally accepted ad load has been shown to be about 20%. About 20% of TV is ads, 20% of social media feeds, etc. Seems natural that we’d get there with YouTube.

YouTube has had sponsors and inline ads for years from the content creators, so I’m fairly confident we’re already approaching the saturation point in some form.


Difference is, TV had (has) content in 30 minute chunks. But Youtube has, among others, Shorts, which are often 30 seconds. But still Neal Mohan wants to show ads on Shorts.

On top of these ads, creators are inserting their own ads ("this video is sponsored by ...."), so it's ads all the way down (like turtles).


> People still don't see where this is going.

At least 30% of Americans use an ad blocker.


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