> they are building superintelligence

There are no serious people left who believe this anymore

Anthropic sells the Models the businesses prefer. That’s where the money is right now

no way anyone has 12 "projects" that are even worth working on. No one at any company is working on 12 things at the same time.

I guarantee they're just starting a bunch of half baked random projects, abandoning them half way through and starting 12 new ones.

It's less 12 projects and more 1 project + 11 changes/experiments. Complex projects still get the most attention, but I do a lot more work which may end up being discarded, and agents pick up any tasks which would've otherwise landed in the backlog. Update dependencies here, rebase this branch, start working on this issue, change this and benchmark it, etc.

I mean... I do. And yes they're all worth working on.

I think the point was why working on simultaneously, aside from inability to prioritize.

They're probably calling things projects that most of us would call tasks or minor features.

If the company cant convert the product into earnings it really doesnt matter what the product is. It can be a magic machine that turns water into wine. They still have to find people willing to pay for it.

If the world is not ready for fully scalable almost human tier intelligence then, being right at the wrong time is the same as being wrong.

Uptake is amazing, isn't ChatGPT the most downloaded and beat TikTok easily?

Also you don't have to make people pay. Facebook doesn't charge end users for its products and neither does Google for either search or Android.

its the most downloaded but they churn users quite a bit

So it's going to be full of advertising and will sell user days as the primary two ways it will be profitable?

I mean, that does sound very much like the future of our current timeline, unfortunately.

> They still have to find people willing to pay for it.

There’s a shitton of companies willing to pay for it.

I’m sure we can trust a sharp business man like Musk to learn from his mistakes and come up with better ideas

Btw have you seen the roadster??

Sure. As would be expected.

a reality check for a crazy person can result in a mental breakdown

"Malware is an important part of the Internet

Technically correct statement though

What a surprise people don’t want massive structures used for shady purposes built by sociopaths, which may or may not use massive amount of power and resources, which may or may not be used to displace the entirety of the labor work force, or destroy what’s left of society to develop better algorithms. To also be built literally in unfathomablr quantities, in almost ever decent piece of land, using unfathomable amounts of money.

Seriously what’s peoples problem?

This is one of those situations where HN is too smart and thinks logic is the same as reality. Life exists outside of computers

You’re being downvoted but you’re 100% right.

The posturing from AI executives has been this will destroy labor. Whether or not that actually happens doesn’t matter - that’s their stance, their dream. They say it basically every chance they get.

Why, then, would average people want to help the people who very plainly state they are against them? It makes no sense.

Everyone here is shocked that average people aren’t willingly to obviously advocate against themselves. Uh, yeah duh. Nobody would.

There’s a lot of well-earned distrust in AI as a whole. The end result is people don’t trust AI companies or their endeavors. This distrust was curated and built by people like Altman and Dario. It didn’t come out of nowhere.

If you want people to support your projects, you have to at least PRETEND you’re on their side. Telling them straight-up “I intend to ruin your life” isn’t a winning strategy. And, everyone, let’s stop pretending like this is our first day on Earth.

Exactly. What, other than buy yacht and cocaine and hooker, are you going to do with all that money, Sam Altman? Pretend we already gave you all the money. What job can my nephews go to school for so that they will have a career 10 years from now? What research institutes are you going to create to hire people to do the remaining jobs, Sam Altman? I didn't vote for you to be the guy that gets to decide but we live under American Crapitalism so that's the direction we're going.

The world is run by completely average people making series of mundane decisions. There is no super genius who’s job it is to understanding the risk of investing in AI.

It’s just some nameless regular guy crunching some numbers and feeding to another regular guy who interprets the numbers. And so on

But the regular guy working at the place has more information about the place than some random HN commenter.

If it's just regular guys, then it would be arrogant for the HN regular guy to assume they can make better decisions with less information.

In reality it's not regular guys, these companies are very selective and have a very high talent bar compared to the median member of the commentariat. They also hire within domain expertise, whereas most of the commentariat is not of the same domain.

So in addition to an inside information disadvantage, the HN guy is also often at a talent and domain-knowledge disadvantage (as hard as it may be for the ego to accept this). This makes the confident contrarianism even more confusing, not even considering all the times it's been wrong.