I'm pretty sure that you comment is down-voted due to choice of words.
Taleb is a snake oil salesman and other than catchy term "black swan" his words should be ignored as much as possible. There are many blog posts on web that go into details to prove this. In addition to the above link, here is another set of links:
The "Precautionary Principle" nonsense has always been my least favorite aspect of Taleb's shtick. You're asking too much of Taleb, however. It is not his place to be right all the time. Rather, he must always point out how often those in charge are wrong. That is how he can contribute to the progress of humanity.
) http://www.fooledbyrandomness.com/pp2.pdf
probability theory is the theory for dealing with what we do not know, and that's what his criticism of GMO's and such are based off, it's a rigorous field.
His paper on Pinker's work was accepted into a peer reviewed journal. So it's not by any means "outlandish".
Cirillo P., Taleb N.N., 2015. On the statistical properties and tail risk of violent conflicts.
) Daniel Kahneman probably the most celebrated intellectual/scientist of this specific modern era calls for his inclusion among the world's top 100 intellectuals
Taleb is a snake oil salesman and other than catchy term "black swan" his words should be ignored as much as possible. There are many blog posts on web that go into details to prove this. In addition to the above link, here is another set of links:
http://theweek.com/articles/453558/nassim-taleb-used-hero-bu...
http://www.cnbc.com/id/31386309
https://scottlocklin.wordpress.com/2009/07/17/nassim-taleb-c...
https://www.geneticliteracyproject.org/2014/11/03/is-nassim-...