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"Whether Russia considers NATO to have intervened is less a function of whether the facts on the ground justify that assertion, and more a function of whether Russia wants a war with NATO. It will decide based on strategic considerations and manufacture or ignore the facts as necessary to justify its decision."

If that were true, NATO would have at least have sent troops to defend Ukraine.

We know that if NATO uses nukes against Russia, Russia will nuke back.

Nuclear war will also almost certainly result from a direct non-nuclear confrontation between NATO and Russia.

Everything short of that is a murky, gray area. We are in uncharted waters, where one wrong move or miscalculation could mean the end of civilization as we know it, and possibly all of humanity.

I wouldn't be surprised if both Russia and the US have already started working through their WW3 contingency plans and watching each other very closely like two gunfighters looking to see who's going to draw first.

The slightest hint of starting to move towards a direct confrontation could quickly and easily result in a corresponding or even more provocative response, and then spiral out of control.



If Russia lobs a nuclear warning shot into the North Sea (say), what is the move by US+NATO that avoids escalation and avoids abandoning Ukraine ?


Lobbing one of their own into the Arctic Ocean?


"Works for me." Might work for further escalation too tho :-/




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