I am not sure that one would claim that content creators are there rather than people copying content from various porn and making it accessible.
Do the graphs on that page suggest a substantial increase in the rate of content being submitted to Lemmy instances in the past year?
Memes and jokes are fine... if that's what you are after. I'll note that my /r/all page is devoid of most of them as the reddit subs that I'm on tend to not be as meme saturated.
If you are after deeper discussions of programming topics or hobbies, Lemmy doesn't seem to show the sustained growth or content being added that provides for interesting reading. https://startrek.website is probably the exception to this as they've maintained a rather focused set of communities and so it is easier to find content that isn't memes.
I haven't been able to find an equivalent of /r/DIY, /r/boardgames, /r/soloboardgaming, /r/books, /r/factorio (and its set of subs) on Lemmy.
If one wants to claim that the content creators of /r/memes have mostly left and gone to Lemmy... ok. I'm not as familiar with that subculture. If you want to say that the content creators of /r/books have left and gone to Lemmy - I have seen no indication of that happening.
My point is that we can not expect that the migration of people will happen in clusters of specific interests, they will instead reflect the average redditor.
> I haven't been able to find an equivalent of /r/DIY, /r/boardgames, /r/soloboardgaming, /r/books, /r/factorio
If the content creators of Reddit aren't posting in lemmy instances, is there a strong case for the following assertion:
> and if we assume that a substantial amount of the 1% is moving away from reddit, then it stands to reason that the other 99% will end up following the creators.
Unless it is a reddit sub, where a mod has shut it down (and the community hasn't moved to another tangent reddit sub), I'm just not seeing a reduction in engagement on Reddit by the people who post.
The field of dreams approach for creating communities on Lemmy doesn't seem to be the most effective way at creating communities - especially if you, the person creating the /c/, aren't creating original content for it (long form posts) and actively working on discoverability of the /c/ (cross posting as appropriate).
Creating or gathering a community is a lot more work than just creating a /c/.
My claim is still that the people who left Reddit because of the latest mess were (a) not content creators themselves, or (b) looking for a reason to leave.
For group (a), this resulted in some subs getting made private and the communities on reddit readjusted to tangent ones.
For group (b), while a loss was not a significant one. On a casual sub that I moderate (and thus have access to stats for), I only see the number of unique users grow since January (the official iOS client use is 3x larger than Android, and 10x larger any of the other sources). The number of monthly active unique users for a middling activity cat sub is 36,000 (compare all of Lemmy at 69,000 monthly active users). I haven't seen any indication of a reduction in the posting of the 1% of content creators on Reddit in any of the subs that I moderate, nor anecdotally, any of the subs that I visit.
> Creating or gathering a community is a lot more work than just creating a /c/.
Completely agree. The point is, who will be creating new communities on reddit after all this?
> the people who left Reddit (...) were not content creators themselves
Like I said, it is an assumption. If the content creators are not leaving (or at least looking for alternatives) then I'm really sorry for them and their audience.
https://fedidb.org disagrees with you. Numbers are still going up, quite strongly.