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We're actively using 3 principles of influence from Cialdini in our SaaS-product[1] (we also refer to it as 'CaaS', Conversion as a Service).

Basically we make persuasion available for the small- to mid-size online shops by providing a tool that integrates tightly with your (shop)backend. Based on data-analysis from your visitors (we ask for a small JS-snippet on each of your pages) we try to predict, by using machine learning, which visitor is sensitive to what kind of messaging at what particular time.

Examples:

Scarcity: "3 products left in stock", "order within 2 hours and 13 minutes and we'll ship your order today"

Social proof: "23 people bought this product today", "the last order of this product was 3 minutes ago"

Authority: "Recommended by institute x"

We're seeing uplifts in conversions rates from 5% to sometimes 200% (on average 10-15%). Key is timing and finding out what works best for a certain type of visitor. So, for example, shopping at your lunch break often results in a certain behaviour on a shop (ie. going directly or through the shortest route to your desired product) which implicates a sensitivity for a scarcity message. On the other hand, shopping in the evening (more time on your hands) tells us (but not always) that you're maybe more inclined to make a good comparison between products. A social proof message helps the most in that case. It's a simplified version of the reality but you get the idea :-)

The tool is easily integrated in shop software (Magento et al) and usable for the less tech savvy users. The messaging is delivered through non-intrusive pop-ups (maybe you've seen them) and are fully configurable on for example: referer, time of day, position, layout, animation, type of visitor, country, etc etc. We also have an integration with Google Analytics to track performance.

You can try us for 30 days free, shoot me an email at bart[at]conversify.com, mention HN, and I'll give you 15 extra days for free.

[1] https://www.conversify.com



(EDIT: I understood the messages to be misleading, reply says they are true)

This walks a line between helping the customer to make decisions manipulation (I'm being generous here). If I saw an online store doing this I would think less of them (again, being generous in my language) and go somewhere else. Also I can tell the difference between real scarcity (like an eBay auction timer out) and simulated scarcity...

... is what I like to think happens. Obviously it works and the chances of me, or anyone else who thinks the same way, being exceptional is probably slim.


We are not simulating scarcity, we are integrated with the shop's backend and show real stock. If a shop owner wants to lie about his stock that's his responsibility, but hey, he also can do that without our tool.

The tool only enforces certain usps or charateristics of the shop at the right time.


Good to know. I assumed they were lies: there's a lot of scumbaggery in sales, so it's perhaps a natural assumption.


No problem. Also, the shop wouldn't gain anything in the long run if they were telling lies. We measure conversion over multiple sales and that shop would see poorer performance for that message compared to our control group.


Some website are playing blurry lines games so much. They do use time / stock limited "flash sales" to trigger buying. Then relaunch a new flash sale a few minutes after. Most of the time you won't notice it, you're either busy looking at other stuff or just went off the web because you spent enough money. I even thought it was a page refresh bug until I understood the pattern.


Here is another one you can add that I have found works with sales that I make (although those are big ticket sales).

Attach some proof of what others payed in higher prices. As in "10 people paid $x for this last week".


Thanks! Will try that with one or two of our customers, shall I let you know our findings?


Definitely - startupdomainadvice@gmail.com

Pricing strategies are one of my specialties and I use them in negotiation almost every day.


It'd be interesting to know how Booking.com, a good example of these tactics, uses "scarcity" messages, as every time I try to book something on that website I always get messages like "only 2 left" and "5 people looking at this right now".


I think Booking.com was actually a client of Persuasion API; a competitor of Conversify (coincidentally all three Dutch companies.)

I think they actually ran this experiment only through their mailing list though but either way Booking.com was already using all these conversion tactics before though so at best they actually used this to occasionally turn off some of the less effective social proofs.


I have mixed feelings. On the one hand, I applaud how you turned those principles into a well-packaged, professional product with metrics, studies and whatnot. On the other hand, when I get subjected to those I feel like being... manipulated, to put it generously.

Regardless, your comment and the subthread it started gave me a product idea - an adblock-like plugin that would remove all such manipulative elements from online shops. Basically, it would cancel out all your hard work ;). But hey, it's an arms race between salesmen and consumers.


Thanks for the compliment ;-), regarding your feeling of manipulation: I think it's impossible to block all persuasive tactics in general. Let's take for example social proof: a set of positive reviews and their respective number of stars mentioned at let's say a product listing is a form of persuasion that, if taken out, makes the listing far less valuable. Is that something you would see that the persuasion-blocker would remove from sites? ;-)


Fair enough :). The problem of manipulation is something I can't really wrap my head around completely. To add another example supporting your point, I do at times care about scarcity information (especially when I need something within next week or two and I can't risk shop running out of a product and not restocking it fast enough) - but your comment reminded me that those can easily be gamed (especially if seller is less than honest).

I honestly don't know how to reconcile my own ideals with day-to-day capitalism. Brick&mortar stores all around not only manipulate, but sometimes blatantly cheat people. I realized recently that I probably couldn't open a store myself - my own conscience would run me bankrupt pretty quickly. I'm not made for this age ;).


If a persuasion blocker removed reviews from sites nothing of value would be lost, at least to first order.

For any book on Amazon, for example, 90%+ of the reviews are zero-information, because they either are entirely about the reviewer ("I thought this book was great/sucked/whatever" in various long-winded guises), are paid shills, compare the book unfavourably to another one by the same author (will will also have reviews comparing it unfavourably to another one by the same author) or are incoherent.

I've long thought that a review-sanitizer wouldn't be that hard to build that filtered out large numbers of reviews using what amount to anti-span techniques. Con-artists like you suggest that a more general counter-measures approach would be worthwhile.

You may object to being characterized as a con-artist, but you are precisely using algorithmic techniques to gain the mark's confidence so you can manipulate them to your own ends. That is the definition of a con-artist, and it's quite different from ethical salespeople do, based on my own experience in sales.

So here's a question: how would you deploy your algorithmic knowledge in a way that focused on qualifying rather than closing? The goal of an ethical sales-person is to qualify people in the channel, because a fully qualified lead is a closed sale. It may be a quite similar process, but you're asking a fundamentally different question. Not "how can I manipulate the lead to close" but "how can I identify the lead's needs and ability/willingness to pay?" Maybe it's not possible, but if websites focused on this rather than confidence tricks (which is what you are using) people would probably be much more willing to part with their money (the book "Getting Into Your Customer's Head", which is probably somewhat dated now, gives a fair idea of the approach I'm talking about.)


Thanks for your comment, and yes, I object to your qualification of a con-artist.

First, manipulation in my view is an unethical forced change of behaviour (buying something you don't want). We don't manipulate people with our tool (I'll come back to that later).

Secondly, con-artists are people that mislead and manipulate other people to have a (personal) gain, either financially or otherwise.

So, imagine an online shop. That shop has some usps (best widgets in town, fast delivery) and some information on each product (number in stock, number of buys etc etc). That information is usually 'embedded' on the site (frontpage, product details, checkout page). To communicate all those pros you would have to guess where in the user journey the customer has the need to read one of those perks (or you could just repeat them over and over again which hurts the user experience).

Our tool takes those usps and information and targets those at the right customer at the right time. You hate social proof? Fine, we won't bother you with that. You need a confirmation about the trustworthiness of the store? Fine, here's why the shop is to be trusted (reputation, expert in field etc etc)

We know what is important to you (qualifying) and communicate that. That's not manipulation or a con-artist's MO because it's true and we don't mislead you. We know, based on your data, what your needs are. (if a shop owner wants to communicate false claims, that's fine, but in the long run people are not buying there anymore. See my other comment on this subject).

Persuasion is everywhere, whether you like it or not. We just try to make it more effective by removing all the random persuasion messages (which are sometimes screaming at you) and finding out what works for whom and when.


> Secondly, con-artists are people that mislead and manipulate other people to have a (personal) gain, either financially or otherwise.

That appears to be exactly what you're doing. Unless, of course, you're trying to claim that your company is some kind of altruistic non-profit that manipulates people for the greater good.


I fail to see how he is misleading as his tool is meant to provide facts that "persuade". Of course scumbag sellers could use it with falsified data. However, that doesn't make him the con-artist.


Did you even read my comment?


I did, and I agree with the criticism. The fact that you're offering factual information doesn't change the fact that you're:

1. Deliberately manipulating buying decisions for profit.

2. Concealing the fact that the information you present is intended to manipulate, not to inform.

3. Ignoring whether or not a buying decision will genuinely benefit the customer and not just the seller.

Put simply, you seem to have zero interest in the customer except as financial prey.

Do you really not understand how shady this is?

It's true that persuasion is everywhere - but so what? Germs, pollution, poisons, politicians, and other bad things are everywhere too. That doesn't mean we shouldn't try to mitigate their damaging effects.

If you don't understand why this is a problem, consider how customers would feel if you explained your manipulation up front.

How much damage would the brand suffer?

Now, if you had customers who were happy with your presentation after an open explanation ("Yes - tell me when you're about to run out of stock so I don't have to wait until you restock") that would be different.

But instead of giving them that choice you're using textbook psychological exploits to push their behaviour around in ways that benefit you, potentially at their expense - and IMO that's certainly not a cool thing to be doing.


Let me touch on each individual point of your criticism:

1) Doesn't every single shop/business try to convince (I'm not using manipulate because of it's incorrectness and the negative association some people may have, see other comment) you as a potential buyer through the same principles? Is that a bad thing? Why isn't it 'allowed' in your eyes to emphasize your strong points (usps) or factual info about a product? What's the difference between our tool and mentioning these facts on the site it self?

2) We inform people about a product shop with factual information so that they can make a better decision. Example: A customer is worried if this shop is legit. Letting them see a message with the number of positive reviews the shop has got can make that worry go away. Social proof also helps in this process (just like we do in the real world when seeing an empty restaurant versus a crowded restaurant).

3) See (2). Our main goal is trying to convince customers of buying at a shop. Helping the shop with communicating their sales pitch to customers isn't about ignoring the interest of the customer. It's in the interest of the shop owner that he guards the interest of the shopper or else his retention or returning rates are going to be very bad.

Your comparison of germs (etc) with persuasion misses every point...

If I would tell customers that if they feel insecure about something (is this shop legit?, is this a popular product?, how long do I have to get it tomorrow?) our tool would provide them with the answers to that at the right time (using our algorithms and data-analysis), then I'm sure no one would object.

Lastly: people are intelligent creatures. If stock info on a product doesn't have your interest but you see it anyway, you'll ignore it (like we do all day with other inputs/noise). But if you are interested in a product and need it fast, than a scarcity message at the right time will certainly help you.


By your logic, 419 scammers aren't trying to manipulate people... just "convince" them.


You should read Cadlini's book Persuasion. I am sure it discussed what to watch out for in general life at the end of each chapter.


Thanks for the tip. I read it years ago, maybe it's time for another pass :).


It was a while ago I read it so I hope it was that one I am thinking about.


very interesting. i know for a fact i am influenced by scarcity messages. i can feel my pulse quicken a bit when i'm shopping and it says there's 1 or 2 products left in stock.


i can't remember if i cultivated this consciously or not, but when i see a scarcity message i think "well, if i'd hit this site a few hours later it would have been gone; might as well assume i did that and save my money". anything worth having will still be there later.


Are the messages true?


I'm guessing that the messages are tailored to whatever pushes the buttons the best. For example, if only one person has ordered today but it was 5 minutes ago, then show the "this product was last ordered 5 minutes ago" message instead of "1 person has ordered this today". Or, if there's lots in stock, then show the "you'll get this tomorrow" message.

I don't think it would be hard to make the messages selectively true.


Yes, that's basically how it works ;-)


If you can hook in FB data then you might be able to figure out so much more about the users/visitors (what's more likely to work for a given visitor).

I'm impressed by the product/service but I'm so jaded about 'being gamed' that I'm always cynical when I buy online.


I'm hearing time-of-day dependencies from a number of companies. It seems to be a major thing.


I wonder whether for some merchants the best message will always be "1 product left in stock" and therefore it is in the merchant's interest to restock only one item immediately after every sale...


Funny you mention it, it is actually a little more complex in practice. The 'soft spot' for number of items left in stock is somewhere between 2 and 5 (135 left in stock makes one postpone the buying decision obviously ;-)).

The problem with 1 left in stock is that people are responding well to scarcity in general but often don't like to be pushed toward a decision right now.... this is counter effective.


The other problem with "1 left in stock" is that I might want to buy two, and if you claim to have only one, I'll go to another site rather than order from you and wait an unknown amount of time for you to restock


Yes, that also plays a part in the effectiveness of the message.


Yeah, I usually distrust any stocking information - unless my need is urgent or I'm after some unusual item (like something handmade rather than manufactured) I assume a) that it's BS and b) that if it's that popular, it'll be back in stock soon enough, or available elsewhere.

The social proof of seeing other people order, oddly enough, I find much more persuasive even though it's just as subject to manipulation. Maybe I'm just jaded from the ubiquity of 'hurry in, this offer can't last' advertisements on TV, on the weekly coupon junk mail that shows up in the mailbox and so on. I always wonder why car dealerships make such a huge thing out of their sales, given that they seem to occur on almost a monthly basis.


Having owned a lot of uncommon, unusual, and vintage products over the years, there is intrinsic value to many other people owning the product beyond simple social proof.


Quite so. I'm into synthesizers and like any other specialist hobby, the more rarefied examples have significant costs of ownership besides scarcity, eg the difficulty of maintenance or finding people competent to do repairs if they become necessary.


The goal of our algorithms is to predict that you are more sensitive to social proof than scarcity.


In what case(s) did you get a 200% increase in conversion, and what's your explanation of that effect?


I messaged you, let me know.


so you are a digital used car salesman scum, nice


[flagged]


I can't see why - the sales clerks at brick and mortar stores do the same thing. Like, if I went to a bike shop they would make off-handed remarks about someone buying a certain style helmet recently or perhaps emphasize the DOT rating (instead of the lacking Snell). Seems natural.


It depends. I have two supermarkets within about a similar distance, a Safeway and Trader Joe's. Safeway has all branded goods, a larger selection, they send coupons to my mailbox every week (a very common form of marketing in the US, for people who live elsewhere), and they have a store loyalty card I'm encouraged to pull out every time I go. They are always having sales and special offers and so on. Trader Joes send me brochure about once a month talking about what they have that I might want to buy, most of the good are under their own house brand (often just relabeled versions of brand products), they never give any discounts and they have no store loyalty card, plus the supermarket is smaller and the selection is inferior in terms of # of goods on sale. And they sometimes run out of a particular thing for a week or two and if they don't have they just don't have it. And they're probably a bit more expensive, like 5-10%.

However, I do most of my grocery shopping there, notwithstanding the disadvantages. The reason why is because I can concentrate on choosing the actual things I want to eat or otherwise consume on their own merits, whereas if I go to the Safeway I'm constantly bombarded with over-engineered promotional messages and in encouraged to focus on this week's special offer!!! and so on. The time spent figuring out how to get the best deal is IMHO often worth more than the amount of money you save in the process, and it shifts the focus of my attention from what I want to what the store has too much of and wants to get off the shelves, ie it substitutes the store's economic interest for my own. Now, of course sometimes I go to Safeway to pick up particular goods or if they have some especially enticing offer, or if I need something that's not available or good value at the other store. But I try to limit my Safeway visits to less than one a month, and when I do go it's with a very narrow agenda, ie I go specifically to purchase a small number of specific items and get out as fast as possible, rather than drifting around the aisles throwing this that and the other into the cart. It's a mentally toxic environment for me, whereas at the smaller supermarket I sort of enjoy doing the grocery shopping and I know quite a few of the people who work there by name.

Both stores are engaged in marketing - getting me to fork over money in exchange for consumables - but I much prefer the one that emphasizes a general level of quality and good value for the products on offer over the one that emphasizes endless choice, limited-time offers, and cart optimization ('buy 3 get 1 free' etc.).


With Trader Joe's it seems you could trust them to have done the curating for you. That is you might not like the taste of some products, but you wouldn't get something absolutely horrible. That is you wouldn't get something which pretended to be health but is absolutely not.

With other supermarkets you have to really check the ingredients and even then you might get taken for a ride.

That is a huge cognitive load to deal with if you know how, and even worse deal if you do not know how to find decent products.


Intentionally deceptive communication is evil in brick-and-mortar stores too. That's one of the reasons that many people prefer online shopping -- to escape aggressive and manipulative salespeople.


If often pitch our product as "the online equivalent of a good 'offline' sales person".

An 'offline' sales person also makes a judgement and tailors it's story to that judgement. How does the customer look, what are his questions, what can I upsell, etc etc.


Why? To me this just sounds like intelligent marketing. If it's not lying, what's wrong with tailoring the message to the audience?


I also think 'scumbag' is going too far, but marketing of this sort flirts with dishonesty and often leaps right into bed with it. If the consumer goes looking for, say, a bag of apples, I'm fine with the sort of marketing that says 'we have lots of apples' or 'our applies are super tasty' or 'Mmmm, crunchy tasty apples, yum!'. It's OK to reflect some version of the consumer's desire for your product in hope that the consumer will identify with that desire and make a purchase.

But if you say 'OMG, running out of apples' or 'study: apples cut cancer risk' or 'everyone's eating Valar_m's apples', then you're no longer addressing the consumer's desire to eat apples, you're playing on the consumer's latent anxiety about missing a good deal, or eating the right food, or fitting in with peers - things which have nothing to do with the apples themselves, but with the consumer's socioeconomic position and the desire to maintain or improve it. It's as if you bait them with a picture of the apple they desire, then switch to making them feel anxious about the consequences of not following through with a transaction.

I don't mean to imply that you or anyone else who practices this sort of marketing is some sort of cartoon villain, cackling as you part anxious consumers from their money. But if you think it through, I think you'll agree that there is a fundamental difference between the two styles of communication, and that the latter one involves a semantic turn.


Couldn't the same be said about manipulating a child or someone with a mental disorder? That you are tailoring the message to the recipient, that it's a smart strategy to get what you want?

I not really sure I like that analogy but what I'm trying to say is this: there is an information and power asymmetry. While one side has people working 40-hour weeks, using marketing techniques exploiting gaps in human attentiveness developed over generations, with machine learning algorithms crunching data on that person to find their most effective lever - at the other side of the table sits someone hapless and ignorant that they are the target of covert forces. No person, no matter how rational or smart or educated, can stand up to manipulation that they aren't informed about.

It's like calling sleeve cards a smart blackjack strategy. It is. It absolutely is. But the misgivings of the parent are't misgivings about the effectiveness of the strategy.

And to take it further, do we want businesses competing on who can manipulate customers into coming to them? Isn't the whole point of competition that businesses are supposed to try to make better and better products to attract business?

What you have today are identical products made overseas by child labor being sold by two stores, where the two stores compete on brand, labeling and customer advertising because at the root their product is identical. Is that optimally functioning Capitalism?


I understand where you're coming from. But that's kind of a slippery slope argument. It is based on the premise that manipulation is evil. Manipulation isn't evil.

Let's consider for a minute an event where persuasion psychology is used to have someone buy services from a personal trainer. This PT helps the lad. She becomes healthier, happier, and fit as a result. Isn't manipulation good, in this case?

What if your product is awesome and makes people's lives better. Isn't it your moral imperative to market it to people? Isn't it moral to manipulate people into using and buying it if it makes their lives better?

Am I trying to convince myself here? Maybe. But I was reading "The Ultimate Sales Letter" this morning and there's a passage in it which says

> "ALL Successful Selling is by Nature and Necessity manipulative"

That's just how the game is played (?)


I agree wholeheartedly with you. Not all manipulation is evil. In this case the argument is that this specific class of manipulation is not altruistic. Cui bono? It's not the consumer.

I don't think I would agree with the universal that all market transactions are manipulative. But even if we granted that, it would come to your distinction: what kind of manipulation is it? Who benefits from the manipulation, and is anyone taken advantage of? Beyond the singular instance, does the sum of individual actions taken together constitute something good?

There's theoretical instances where strong manipulation may benefit the manipulated (PT? Medicine?), but this too is a slippery slope towards a justification for paternalism. I'm sure that the business, in whatever form of cognitive dissonance it can muster, may think that the prospective consumer will benefit from its product. A great example of this are the people who sell healing water and crystals. What we want is for consumers to be informed and we want a healthy society (friends, family, neighbors, society) to encourage people to make choices that have clear indicators that they will benefit. We don't want the crystal seller to be the one educating the consumer on crystals - just as we would rather have a person choose for themselves to get physical therapy than be coerced into it. (The difference between societal encouragement and education versus marketing is overtness, necessary in hypothesis for us to call it manipulative).

There's also the other question you didn't touch on. In the aggregate do we want a market system that competes on being better salesmen or one that competes on making better products and manufacturing them more affordably? Recognizing here that these are not mutually exclusive which do we want to be emphasized?

I don't think that the above argument is grounded on the premise that all manipulation is evil. A more reasonable interpretation I think categorizes the type of manipulation being done in the instance, and the motivations for it, as being selfish and underhanded - the sort of thing we might think about condemning. Furthermore it suggests that the type of manipulation being done on a larger scale is not a healthy economy make.


I wouldn't use the "scumbag" term, but "intelligent marketing" can sometimes be quite "scummy", in my opinion.

Take the example given above: "Scarcity: '3 products left in stock'"

Why should the number of products left in stock be useful to me if I was planning on buying the product? (So long as there are as many as I was planning on buying, that is).

It's only useful for converting someone who would not have otherwise bought the product. So suddenly through this bit of extra information (which is in itself almost certainly unrelated to why you were considering buying the product in the first place), you're overriding someone's decision from "don't buy" into "buy". There's a fuzzy argument in there about "might have bought tomorrow and buys today, instead", but my gut tells me that's more of a rationalization than anything.

So suddenly, you're selling products not based on the product itself, but based on some bit of metadata wholly unrelated to the performance of the product itself. I know it seems like such a little thing (and generally, I'd agree that it is, really), but the original article itself shows just how often people think we're making rational decisions, but in reality have been manipulated.


> It's only useful for converting someone who would not have otherwise bought the product.

Its not useful for converting someone who has decided "do not want". It is useful primarily for converting someone who is on the fence and is considering deferring a purchase decision on the assumption that the decision can be later with no cost (other than delay in getting the product).

Its also potentially useful for converting someone who is on the fence but subject to being swayed by the perception that other people are buying.

> So suddenly, you're selling products not based on the product itself, but based on some bit of metadata wholly unrelated to the performance of the product itself.

Scientific study of the specific mechanisms that work here might be new, and even moreso any particular result of that study may be, but that general fact is not even remotely new. Its pretty much a major part of what sales and marketing are about. Engaging on a rational level may be part of that, but its never been the major part.


> It is useful primarily for converting someone who is on the fence and is considering deferring a purchase decision on the assumption that the decision can be later with no cost (other than delay in getting the product).

That's the main argument I was expecting, (and I called it out somewhat at the end of the paragraph you quote). I'd be very curious to know what percentage of people do make that purchase at a later time. I'm under the impression that the in-person sales industry has a derisive term for this sort of person: "bebacks", meaning someone who says they'll "be back" later to buy, but rarely does return. That leads me to believe that someone who was "on the fence" and would have deferred the purchase, but is swayed by the scarcity argument should be considered a "do not want". We can argue on this one all day long though, I'm sure.

> Its pretty much a major part of what sales and marketing are about. Engaging on a rational level may be part of that, but its never been the major part.

See, that's the problem I have with all of this. The fact that we seem to condone psychological manipulation in marketing as okay because it's not outright lying and most of the time it's not that bad (whatever that means!) is kind of crummy, imo.

I mean, I get it. People can never make perfectly-informed decisions. Sales and marketing are a necessary evil in a world where they have to choose between seemingly-equal options. It's just weird to me that statements like:

> Its also potentially useful for converting someone who is on the fence but subject to being swayed by the perception that other people are buying.

Aren't viewed as...gross? "Don't buy Acme Laundry Soap for its form or function, buy it because everyone else is!"


> I'm under the impression that the in-person sales industry has a derisive term for this sort of person: "bebacks", meaning someone who says they'll "be back" later to buy, but rarely does return.

That's not because people are genuinely deferring purchase decisions are unlikely to return, that's because claiming to be deferring purchase decisions is a common polite way for a "do not want" to excuse themselves from a conversation with an in-person sales person.

On the statement at the end: humans are, in a significant respect, social imitation machines. Its a pretty strong factor. Recognizing that it exists isn't gross. You seem to have problems differentiating descriptive statements from positive value judgements on the thing described.

> See, that's the problem I have with all of this. The fact that we seem to condone psychological manipulation in marketing as okay because it's not outright lying and most of the time it's not that bad

That has nothing to do with what I said. In fact, I disagree, it often is outright lying and often is quite bad. All I said was that the badness isn't, in any respect, new, though the study of how it works may be.


Nice, you're describing a part of our process which sits at the beginning at our decision engine: segmentate visitors in three groups: buying for sure (no need to persuade), not buying for sure (no need as well) and people that have not decided yet. That last group is most interesting: they can be persuaded. Question remains: with what kind of message and at what time. That's our challenge!


The very idea that you can view "they can be persuaded" as anything less than behavior manipulation is interesting. If you're trying to impact behavior at a subconscious level, you're bypassing a person's conscious security controls and accessing their legacy brain API. An API that -- long ago -- saved the brain owner's life but today keeps modern humans trying to stock up on high calorie food because "winter is coming." Or as Clay Johnson put it, "brains want what WAS good for us, not what IS good for us." Your algorithms are counting on this and exploiting it. I know exactly how easy it is to feel OK about doing this given just how much manipulation design I used to develop, advocate, even teach. I'm now horrified I ever did it, and even more horrified that I cognitive dissonanced my way into thinking it was not just OK but perhaps even noble -- after all, those kids games I made for the [ginormous candy company] were educational. I suggest you read "Addiction by Design", about precisely what happens when personally-tailored adaptive algorithms are combined with behavior science. If reading Kahneman doesn't give you a reason to rethink this, Addiction by Design might.


> I'm now horrified I ever did it, and even more horrified that I cognitive dissonanced my way into thinking it was not just OK but perhaps even noble

Your whole comment is great, but this line especially stuck out to me. It's amazing how much effort people people in this line of marketing are spending trying to read (and then manipulate) other people's minds, without taking a moment to examine what's going on inside their own.

Based on the tone of bartkappenburg's comments though, I'd be afraid that the reading material you've suggested might come off as how-to guides!




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